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    • When does Texas get its first frost? See Farmers Almanac prediction
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    When does Texas get its first frost? See Farmers Almanac prediction

    Seren Anwen Posted on

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    As the first cold fronts of the season sweep across Texas, it’s finally starting to feel like fall in some parts of Texas. After an unusually hot end to the summer that caused the state’s power grid to hit record-breaking demand, many Texans are more than ready for a cool down.

    As we reach the middle of fall, winter is just around the corner. What awaits Texas as winter approaches and when will it freeze for the first time? Here’s what we know.

    What does the Farmers’ Almanac say about the winter of 2024-25?

    The Farmers’ Almanac is forecasting a mild, dry winter for most of Texas. However, “cool, wet” conditions can be expected in far West Texas. And the Panhandle may experience slightly colder than normal temperatures and near to above average snowfall. Texans in the “cold” zone can expect the coldest periods in early and mid-January and early to late February.

    “This winter, temperatures will rise and snowfall will decrease across most of the United States,” said Carol Connare, editor-in-chief of the Almanac. “While there will still be plenty of cool temperatures and snow on most slopes, the high heating costs associated with the season should not be felt as harshly. We predict a moderate, uneventful winter – perhaps a welcome change from the extremes of recent years.”

    What is a La Niña winter?

    Strong La Niña conditions are expected across the country, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center’s annual winter outlook report for the United States. In the United States, the chance of La Niña occurring is 74%, while the chance of it being a moderate event is 40%.

    But what does this mean for Texas?

    La Niña typically brings drier and warmer weather conditions to the southeastern part of the United States during the winter, meaning above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation.

    Click here for a breakdown by region: NOAA’s 2024-2025 Winter Forecast Maps: What Does La Niña Mean for Texas?

    When will there be the first frost in Texas?

    Due to Texas’ size and climate variation, the timing of the first frost varies by region. Here are some dates for when the Farmers’ Almanac predicts Texas cities will experience their first frost:

    • Abilene: November 5th
    • Amarillo: Oct 24th
    • Austin: November 10th
    • Brownsville: Dec 29
    • Corpus Christi: Dec 12
    • Dallas: November 20th
    • El Paso: November 14th
    • Fort Worth: November 14th
    • Houston: Dec 8th
    • Killeen: November 8th
    • Laredo: Dec 15
    • Lubbock: November 5th
    • Odessa: November 8th
    • San Antonio: November 18th

    Although amounts for each type of precipitation — rain, snow and ice — are harder to predict, the likelihood that the Lone Star State will experience another historic snowstorm seems unlikely.

    When does winter start?

    The winter season extends from December 21st to March 20th.

    When was the coldest winter ever in the USA?

    Due to the size and climate differences across the country, there is no clear year that has the coldest winter. However, there are a handful of notable candidates:

    • January 1857: Two cold snaps hit New England, making it the coldest month ever recorded in the region. According to the New England Historical Society, 32 blizzards accumulated over six feet of snow, and temperatures dropped so low that mercury froze in thermometers.
    • January 23, 1971: Prospect Creek, Alaska experienced the coldest temperature ever recorded in the United States at -80℉.
    • January 20, 1954: The coldest temperature in the contiguous United States was recorded at -70℉ in Rogers Pass, Montana.

    What was the coldest day in Texas?

    The coldest temperature ever recorded in Texas was -23℉ in Tulia on February 12, 1899. The record was set in Seminole on February 8, 1933, according to the National Weather Service.

    How accurate is the Farmers’ Almanac?

    The Farmers’ Almanac is an annual American magazine, published continuously since 1818, that provides long-range weather forecasts for the United States and Canada. The Almanac says its readers find the predictions accurate about 80 to 85 percent of the time.

    It was accurately predicted that Texas’ summer would be “sizzling” with “drenching showers.” It also said that most of the state will experience warm temperatures on Labor Day, while thunderstorms are expected in the southern part of the state.

    Both forecasts came true, as the state saw record-breaking temperatures and flooding occurred several times, including in Central Texas on Labor Day.

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    Seren Anwen
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