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Prediction, betting odds for Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavs, October 31st
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Prediction, betting odds for Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavs, October 31st


For the first time this season, the Rockets play as underdogs on Thursday when they visit defending Western Conference champion Dallas (-6.5).

The Rockets will continue their 2024-25 NBA regular season with Thursday night’s game in Dallas. It is the first game between the two Texas rivals since an overtime contest last April in which the Mavericks eliminated Houston from 2023-24 postseason contention in the Western Conference.

In this match, both teams (probable lineups) should have fresh legs. Houston hasn’t played since Monday night in San Antonio, while Dallas has been sidelined since beating Minnesota on Tuesday.

For Jalen Green and the Rockets (2:2) it is the first game as underdogs this season. Luka Doncic and the Mavericks (3-1), who ultimately won the West on their way to a spot in the 2024 NBA Finals, are understandably the home favorites at American Airlines Center.

Betting odds Rockets vs. Mavericks:

All NBA odds via BetMGM:

  • Point spread: Mavericks -6.5
  • Money line: Mavericks -250 / Missiles +200
  • Over-Under: 225.5

Rockets vs. Mavericks injury updates:

  • Rockets: Steven Adams, questionable, left calf strain, healing from right knee injury
  • Mavericks: Dante Exum out, right wrist surgery
  • Mavericks: Maxi Kleber is out, strained right thigh muscle

These starting lineups are based on each team’s previous game. Two-way players Jack McVeigh (Rockets), Nate Williams (Rockets), N’Faly Dante (Rockets), Jazian Gortman (Mavs), Kessler Edwards (Mavs) and Brandon Williams (Mavs) are all unavailable during their assignment the G-League affiliate of its parent club.

Prediction and tips for Rockets at Mavericks:

Through four games, Rockets big man Alperen Sengun is shooting less than 40% from the field. Against a powerhouse Dallas squad with players like Doncic, Kyrie Irving and Klay Thompson, the Rockets know they will likely need both Jalen Green and Sengun at their best to score enough points and have a chance. The latter should be due to an increase in performance.

With that in mind, a push to get Sengun involved early can be expected and the match should be more favorable to him than his previous two games against the 2.1 meter tall Spurs phenom Victor Wembanyama. Last season, in two games against the Mavericks (who use a combination of Daniel Gafford and Derick Lively II at center), Sengun averaged 26.5 points and 12.0 points while shooting 58.1% overall and on free throws of 84.2% achieved.

Another prop worth considering could be Klay Thompson breaking the 14.5-point mark, as the veteran sharpshooter has a reputation for playing well against the Rockets.

We will use the Mavericks as cover as they have more experience dealing with tough opponents early in the season. Dallas has already played two playoff teams last season, including Tuesday’s road win at Minnesota, while Houston’s four previous opponents in the 2023-24 season have all lost at least 55 games.

Take the home team, for example, which also happens to be more battle-tested and boasts three future Hall of Famers.

Best bet: Mavericks -6.5 (-105)

Favorite prop: Alperen Sengun, over 17.5 points

Prediction: Mavericks 117, Rockets 109

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