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Poll: Trump maintains lead thanks to “remarkably stable” support
Tennessee

Poll: Trump maintains lead thanks to “remarkably stable” support

Former President Donald Trump maintains his lead nationally and appears to be ignoring the enthusiasm that arose after Vice President Kamala Harris entered the Democratic race.

According to the latest results of the New York Times/Siena poll released Sunday, Trump won the support of 48 percent of likely voters, compared to 47 percent who supported Harris.

The results are essentially identical to the last New York Times/Siena poll, which asked voters their preferences after President Biden dropped out of the race in late July. That poll also showed Trump leading 48-47.

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Vance and Trump

Former President Trump and vice presidential candidate U.S. Senator JD Vance (R-Ohio) appear on the first day of the Republican National Convention on July 15, 2024. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

The poll comes after weeks of rising enthusiasm for Democrats after Harris succeeded Biden, although the New York Times argued that Trump’s support appears “remarkably resilient” to the stunning changes in the electoral landscape.

The poll found that Harris has not yet been able to convey her vision for the country to voters, with 28 percent of respondents saying they need to learn more about her to win her support. In contrast, only 9 percent expressed similar concerns about Trump.

“I don’t know what Kamala’s plans are,” Dawn Conley, a 48-year-old small business owner from Knoxville, Tennessee, who leans toward Trump, told the New York Times.

Former President Donald Trump will deliver a speech at the Economic Club of New York on Thursday and lay out his vision for the economy if he is re-elected.

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The poll also found that while Harris has made gains for the Democratic coalition in key demographic groups following Biden’s decision to drop out, she still falls short of Democrats’ traditional strength in groups such as women and Latino voters.

Voters’ preference for change also speaks against Harris: 60 percent said they would like to see a fundamental change in Biden’s policies. Only 25 percent of respondents said Harris would represent such a change, while 53 percent believe Trump would.

Harris at campaign rally in Georgia

Democratic presidential candidate and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at the Enmarket Arena in Savannah, Georgia, August 29, 2024. (Win McNamee/Getty Images)

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But the poll results weren’t all bad for Harris. She could be ahead of Trump in the polls as November quickly approaches. The poll found that 91 percent of Democrats are enthusiastic about the election, while 85 percent of Republicans said the same.

The New York Times/Siena poll surveyed 1,695 registered voters between September 3 and 6 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.

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