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Political Polls Today: Kamala Harris vs. Trump in the Final Swing State Surveys
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Political Polls Today: Kamala Harris vs. Trump in the Final Swing State Surveys

There are just three days until Election Day and recent polls show Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Nevada, Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin, while former President Donald Trump is ahead in Arizona and North Carolina, while the two candidates are ahead in Pennsylvania are essentially equal.

The race between Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, and Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, remains tight as the seven swing states look like a toss-up. However, both candidates are making small gains in the contested state polls leading up to November 5th.

Newsweek reached out to the Harris and Trump campaigns via email Saturday afternoon seeking comment.

Here is some of the latest polling data in the seven swing states:

Trump/Harris
Former President Donald Trump is seen in Powder Springs, Georgia on October 28th. Vice President Kamala Harris is seen in Macomb, Michigan on October 28th. There are only three days until Election Day and recently…


Anna Moneymaker/Drew Angerer/AFP/Getty Images

Nevada

According to Data for Progress, a progressive think tank and polling firm that conducted its poll between Oct. 25 and Oct. 31, Harris is up 2 points among 721 likely voters in Nevada, with voter support at 49 percent, compared to Trump’s 47 percent Error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Polling aggregator 538 shows a tighter race in Nevada, with Trump leading Harris by 0.4 points. Their polling averages, which take into account a wealth of polling data rather than just a single poll, show Trump at 47.7 percent and Harris at 47.3 percent as of Saturday afternoon.

Georgia

According to Data for Progress, Harris is ahead in Georgia by 1 point. Of the 972 likely Georgia voters surveyed, 49 percent said they would vote for Harris, while 48 percent said Trump. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Meanwhile, 538 Trump has a lead of 1.5 points over Harris in the Peach State (48.6 to 47.1 percent) (as of Saturday afternoon).

Michigan

In a UMass Lowell/YouGov poll conducted Oct. 16-23, Harris also had a 4-point lead over Trump in Michigan. Of the 600 likely Michigan voters surveyed, 49 percent supported Harris and 45 percent supported Trump. The survey’s margin of error is plus/minus 4.49 percent.

In the 538 poll averages from Saturday afternoon, the vice president is also ahead of Trump, although by a smaller margin. She is 1.1 points ahead of Trump (48 to 46.9 percent).

Wisconsin

According to a poll from Oct. 10 to Nov. 1 by ActiVote, a data-based nonpartisan voter education app, Harris is ahead of Trump by 1.8 points in Wisconsin. Of the 400 likely voters surveyed in Wisconsin, 50.9 percent supported Harris and 49.1 percent supported Trump. The survey has a margin of error of 4.9 percent.

The vice president is also ahead of Trump in the Wisconsin poll average of 538 points, but by just 0.8 points (48.2 to 47.4 percent) as of Saturday afternoon.

Arizona

Trump was ahead of Harris in Arizona when Data for Progress surveyed 1,079 likely voters from the state. The former president got 48 percent, Harris 47 percent. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

On average, Trump has a 2.1-point lead over Harris in Arizona (48.8 percent to 46.7 percent), according to numbers of 538 as of Saturday afternoon.

North Carolina

Trump is also ahead in the UMass Lowell/YouGov poll in North Carolina. Of the 650 likely voters in North Carolina, 47 percent said they would vote for Trump, while 45 percent said they would vote for Harris. The survey’s margin of error is plus/minus 4.2 percent.

Looking at the polling average of 538 in the Tar Heel State, Trump has a 1.3-point lead over Harris (48.4 to 47.1 percent) as of Saturday afternoon.

Pennsylvania

Like Nevada, Pennsylvania is an extremely close race between Harris and Trump.

According to Data for Progress, Harris leads Trump by 2 points among 908 likely voters in Pennsylvania (50 percent to 48 percent). The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

In the UMass Lowell/YouGov poll, the two are almost tied: Harris came in at 48 percent and Trump at 47 percent. The state poll surveyed 800 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.73 percent.

A new one now USA today/A Suffolk University poll showed Harris and Trump tied with 49 percent of the vote each. The poll was conducted Oct. 27-30, surveyed 500 likely voters in Pennsylvania and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

In the polling average of 538 for Pennsylvania as of Saturday afternoon, Trump is 0.1 points ahead of Harris (47.8 to 47.7 percent).

National polls

Harris has a 1.2-point lead over Trump (48 percent to 46.8 percent) in the national poll average of 538 as of Saturday afternoon.

National polls only predict the popular vote due to America’s electoral college system, which awards the presidency to a candidate with 270 or more electoral votes, which are distributed to states based on the number of senators and representatives, not the total number of votes cast across the country. On the other hand, national polls can help anticipate trends in state polls.

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