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NHC tracking tropical system could form over Halloween weekend
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NHC tracking tropical system could form over Halloween weekend

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The tropics experienced a brief lull last week after Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton wreaked havoc in the southeastern United States, followed by Hurricane Oscar, which devastated parts of the Caribbean.

However, the National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring four tropical waves – one of which shows potential for development over the holiday weekend.

“We are tired because the 2024 hurricane season has hit us harder than any other in a generation,” WeatherTiger chief meteorologist Ryan Truchelut told USA TODAY.

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Tropical Storm Patty? Tropical system has a 40 percent chance of formation

AccuWeather forecasters, who began sounding the alarm last week, are warning of the possibility that a tropical depression or storm could form in the western Caribbean between October 31 and November 4. However, currently the system has no chance of developing within the next 48 hours, this probability increases to 40% in the next seven days.

“An extensive low pressure area is likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days,” the latest report said. “Gradual development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend as the system begins to drift north or northeast over the southwest and central Caribbean Sea.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring four tropical waves:

  • Southwest Caribbean: Another tropical wave has reached the Caribbean plains of Nicaragua along 84W south of 18N.
  • East Atlantic: A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is moving westward along 35W, south of 15N, at a speed of 11 to 17 miles per hour.
  • East of the Leeward Islands: A tropical wave along 52W, south of 17N, is moving west at 11 to 17 mph.
  • Eastern Caribbean Sea: A tropical wave is moving along 68W through the eastern Caribbean and extending south into western Venezuela.

The next named storms of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season will be Patty and Rafael.

How many storms were recorded in the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?

Forecasts earlier in the season had warned of a particularly active season, predicting 17 to 24 named storms, of which eight to 13 had the potential to become hurricanes.

So far, the 2024 season has produced 15 named storms, 10 of which developed into hurricanes, including four major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher.

Hurricane Tracker: Track active storms in the Atlantic

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When is Atlantic hurricane season?

Hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th.

Contributor: Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY Network-Florida

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