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Kamala Harris’ chances of staying in Georgia: New polls
Massachusetts

Kamala Harris’ chances of staying in Georgia: New polls

Vice President Kamala Harris appears to be a slight underdog to former President Donald Trump in Georgia’s presidential election, according to recent polls.

President Joe Biden narrowly defeated Trump in Georgia in 2020, becoming the first Democrat to win the Peach State since former President Bill Clinton in 1992. A repeat victory in Georgia this year, with Harris at the helm, could be crucial for Democrats hoping to retain control of the White House.

An internal Trump campaign poll conducted earlier this week by pollster Tony Fabrizio and released Thursday shows the former president with a 5 percentage point lead over the vice president. In the poll, Trump was supported by 50 percent of likely voters in Georgia, while Harris was supported by 45 percent.

Other polls show a closer race. The Republican pollster The Trafalgar Group gave Trump one point ahead of Harris in a poll conducted Oct. 7 and 8. 46 percent of likely voters supported Trump, 45 percent supported Harris and 9 percent were undecided or supportive other candidates.

The two most recent nonpartisan polls in Georgia from Emerson College and Redfield & Wilton Strategies suggest the race is even.

The Emerson College poll, conducted between Oct. 5 and Oct. 8, found that each candidate was supported by 50 percent of likely voters. Trump and Harris both received 47 percent support in the Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll of likely voters conducted Sept. 27 to Oct. 2.

Kamala Harris has chances to hold polls in Georgia
Vice President Kamala Harris enters Air Force Two at Joint Base Andrews Oct. 2. Recent polls suggest former President Donald Trump is the slight favorite in Georgia.

BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/POOL/AFP

An average of recent polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight showed Trump with a 0.7-point lead over Harris as of late Thursday afternoon. Since September 9, the day before the candidates met in Philadelphia for their first and likely only presidential debate, Trump has, on average, held a slight lead.

Newsweek emailed the Harris and Trump campaigns seeking comment.

Earlier this month, voter registration data in Georgia showed that over 120,000 new voters had registered, with nearly four times more Democrats registering than Republicans.

Georgia is one of at least seven swing states that both campaigns see as crucial to their chances of winning in November. While the battlegrounds will likely be a close fight, polls have recently shown swing states split between candidates.

Trump is currently ahead in most Sun Belt battlegrounds. On Thursday, the former president had a small lead in the FiveThirtyEight averages in Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona, while Harris was slightly ahead in Nevada.

Meanwhile, Harris has an advantage in the Rust Belt swing states that form the so-called “blue wall,” with FiveThirtyEight averages showing her slightly ahead in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin as of Thursday.

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