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    • Hurricane Milton, Leslie, wave tracked by NHC
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    Hurricane Milton, Leslie, wave tracked by NHC

    Eira Gwyneth Posted on

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    Further details, current watches and warnings, spaghetti models and expected impacts for Hurricane Milton can be found here. In a hurry? Here’s what you need to know in a minute.

    The National Hurricane Center is tracking two hurricanes and two tropical waves, including a new one off the coast of Florida in the Atlantic Ocean.

    Hurricane Milton is targeting Florida and is a powerful Category 5 storm with winds of 180 miles per hour. Landfall is expected between Wednesday evening and Thursday morning.

    Florida Emergency Management Director Kevin Guthrie is preparing for the largest evacuation since Hurricane Irma in 2017, he said Sunday.

    Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis said Hurricane Milton will have “potentially large, severe impacts,” including a storm surge of 10 to 20 feet that could inundate Tampa Bay and overflow rivers, among other areas.

    ➤ Spaghetti Models for Hurricane Milton

    ➤ Weather warnings via SMS: Sign up to receive updates on current storms and weather events by location

    Hurricane Center forecasters said that while Milton is currently a small hurricane, wind shear could increase in size before landfall. There is still uncertainty about the intensity and path of Hurricane Milton.

    “Milton has the potential to be one of Florida’s most damaging and costly hurricanes, bringing a variety of life-threatening hazards,” said AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter. “Milton could be a historic, once-in-a-lifetime storm for Floridians.”

    Mandatory evacuation orders have already been issued for several counties and school closures have been announced as Milton approaches.

    Elsewhere in the Atlantic basin there are:

    • Kirk, distracted
    • Hurricane Leslie, weakened
    • An area of ​​unsettled weather east of Florida
    • A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa in the next few days.

    Most of Florida is in a state of emergency

    Governor Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency for 51 Florida counties ahead of Hurricane Milton: Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Broward, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay, Collier, Columbia, DeSoto, Dixie, Duval, Flagler, Gilchrist, Glades, Hamilton, Hardee, Hendry, Hernando, Highlands, Hillsborough, Indian River, Lafayette, Lake, Lee, Levy, Madison, Manatee, Marion, Martin, Miami-Dade, Monroe, Nassau, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola, Palm Beach, Pasco, Pinellas, Polk, Putnam, Sarasota, Seminole, St. Johns, St. Lucie, Sumter, Suwanee, Taylor, Union and Volusia.

    Hurricane Milton: What you need to know

    In a hurry? Here’s everything you need to know about Hurricane Milton in under a minute. Would you like more details?

    ➤ WeatherTiger: Milton could bring Tampa, southwest Florida, its worst surge in a century

    Hurricane Milton Spaghetti Models. Where will the storm hit Florida?

    Special note on spaghetti models: The figures cover a range of forecasting tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the four or five best-performing models to create its forecasts.

    ➤ Spaghetti Models for Hurricane Milton

    Where could Hurricane Milton make landfall in Florida?

    The National Hurricane Center said models disagree about where Milton will make landfall.

    AccuWeather forecasts it will make landfall around Longboat Key, north of Sarasota, around 8 p.m. Wednesday as a Category 3 storm, AccuWeather senior hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said in a telephone interview early Monday afternoon.

    Don’t relax if you live on the east coast of Florida. Milton is still expected to be a hurricane after crossing the state and moving into the Atlantic Ocean.

    Watches and warnings are issued for Florida, USA

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk: What you should know

    ➤ Hurricane Kirk Spaghetti Models

    Hurricane Leslie: What you should know

    ➤ Spaghetti Models for Hurricane Leslie

    What else is there and how likely are they to intensify?

    Southwest Atlantic: An extensive low pressure area extending across portions of South Florida, the Florida Strait and the northwestern Bahamas is expected to move northeast into the Southwest Atlantic by tomorrow.

    Additional tropical or subtropical development is possible as the low moves northeast to east-northeast at approximately 15 mph. However, upper level winds are expected to increase until Wednesday, limiting further development after that point.

    • Chance of emergence within 48 hours: low, 20 percent.
    • Chance of occurrence over 7 days: low, 20 percent.

    Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days.

    Thereafter, environmental conditions appear to be marginally favorable for limited development of this system as it moves west or west-northwest across the eastern tropical Atlantic and crosses the Cape Verde Islands on Thursday or early Friday.

    • Chance of creation within 48 hours: low, close to 0 percent.
    • Training opportunity over 7 days: low, 20 percent.

    National Hurricane Center Map: What Are Meteorologists Watching Now?

    Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:

    What do the colored areas on the NHC map mean?

    The shaded areas on a tropical outlook map indicate “areas where a tropical cyclone – which could be a tropical depression, a tropical storm or a hurricane – could develop,” said National Hurricane Deputy Director Jamie Rhome Center.

    The colors make it clear how likely a system could develop, with yellow being low, orange being medium and red being high.

    The National Hurricane Center generally does not issue tropical warnings until there is a named storm, but there is one exception.

    “If a system is near land and has potential for development, the National Hurricane Center will not wait to issue warnings, even if the system has not yet become a true storm. This gives residents time to prepare,” Rhome said.

    Excessive rainfall forecast

    Interactive map: Hurricanes and tropical storms that passed near your city

    When is hurricane season over?

    The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th.

    The Atlantic Basin includes the North Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

    When is the peak of hurricane season?

    The peak of the season was September 10, with most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

    What’s next?

    We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local website’s app to ensure you’re always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here.

    (This story has been updated to add new information.)

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    Eira Gwyneth
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