The world’s largest outdoor cocktail party will take place when No. 2 Georgia takes on Florida in Week 10 of college football on Saturday. Here’s what to look out for, along with our updated prediction for the game.

Georgia improved to 4-1 in SEC play two weeks ago, securing a decisive win at Texas that saved the team’s playoff hopes, but tougher tests lie ahead before the selection committee sorts everything out.

Florida reached a 2-2 mark in conference play after defeating rival Kentucky, but faces the most brutal stretch of any college football game this season, playing four ranked opponents in the final five weeks of the year.

What can we expect when the Bulldogs and Gators renew their rivalry this weekend?

Here’s what to look for when Georgia and Florida meet in this Week 10 college football matchup, along with our updated prediction for the game.

1. Goodbye. Georgia tailback Trevor Etienne left Florida last season and came to Athens, waiting for the chance to catch his old team. He leads the Bulldogs with 422 rushing yards and has seven scores, but has yet to surpass 100 yards in a single game.

Florida ranks 15th in the SEC in total efficiency and 94th nationally in rush defense this season, but the front-seven rotation has improved greatly over the last three games, ranking in the top 30 during that span in this category and brings his linebackers ever closer to limiting many gains on the spot.

2. Pressure. Florida 5-star freshman quarterback DJ Lagway has quietly improved the Gators’ passing performance of late and is currently the most efficient passer in the SEC on deep throws, according to numbers from Pro Football Focus.

But he may have a difficult time finding a lasting foothold against Georgia’s aggressive pass defense, which has allowed just 15 completions for 20 yards and is attacking quarterbacks more than at any time in the Kirby Smart era. Any early battle for UF’s quarterback could be very costly.

3. Sales. Florida’s defense has been better at generating takeaways of late, forcing six turnovers from opponents in the last three games, increasing the team’s turnover margin to minus-1 on the year.

Georgia’s Carson Beck has thrown eight interceptions in his last four appearances, which has played a role in the team’s generally inconsistent offensive performance of late and could contribute to a current strength of the Gators’ defense.

Georgia comes into the game average 30.5 points per competition that year, ranked 39th nationally, against a Florida defense that allowed it 26.3 points per gameRank 74.

In terms of overall production, the Bulldogs are average 416.2 yards per game in 2024 at No. 41 in the FBS while the Gators forfeit 398.5 meters averages good for 86th place nationally.

Georgia is good for that 0.445 points per game 38th in the country on average this season as long as Florida allows it 0.357 points per game He ranks 61st nationally in defense.

On third downs, Georgia ranks just 87th in the country in conversions 34 out of 89 possible attempts for a success rate of 38.2 percent this season.

Defensively, the Gators allow opponents to transform 39 out of 98 possibilities (39.8 percent).

Georgia is working in the red zone and is ahead in points 28 out of 31 possibilities for one 90.32 percent success rateand 21 of those scores are touchdowns (67.74%).

Florida has allowed its opponents to score points 19 of 23 chances in the red zone for one 82.61 percent success rate 13 of those points were touchdowns (56.52%).

Florida averaged 28.5 points per game He’s ranked 51st nationally this season against a Georgia defense that’s capitulating 19.2 points per game averaged 17th place.

In terms of overall production, the Gators are on the rise 376.8 yards per gamewhich is good for 76th in the FBS as long as the Bulldogs allow it 333.3 yards per game in defense, 30th nationally.

Florida is average 0.458 points per game He ranked 33rd in the FBS that season while Georgia’s defense allowed opponents to hit average 0.286 points per gameRanked 21st nationally.

On third down, the Gators offense continued to push the chains 31 out of 78 chances this season (39.74 percent), while the Bulldogs have allowed teams to move on 27 out of 90 chances (30%).

In the red zone, Florida has a points lead 27 out of 32 possibilities for one 84.38 percent success rate while 22 of those scores (68.75%) are touchdowns.

Georgia allows teams to rotate 14 of 17 chances in the red zone in points (82.35%), but only 8 of those scores are touchdowns, the third fewest nationally.

Most analytical models are on the Bulldogs’ side to defeat the Gators in this game.

This includes the College Football Power Index, a computer prediction model that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to determine winners.

Georgia was ahead in the majority 79.9 percent the computer’s latest simulations of the matchup.

That leaves Florida as the presumptive winner in the remaining game 20.1 percent by Sims.

Georgia is one 14.5 point favorite against Florida, according to updated lines posted at FanDuel Sportsbook.

FanDuel bet the total 51.5 points for the game (Over -110, Under -110).

And it lists the moneyline odds for Georgia -630 and for Florida +460 win directly.

Florida should stay in this game for at least the first half thanks to a Georgia back-seven unit that was occasionally generous to opposing quarterbacks and a front-seven unit that has improved and the Bulldogs’ ground game has been improving for a while could throw it off schedule.

But over time, Georgia’s blitz packages should finally shrink Lagway’s pocket enough for him to start making mistakes while Beck and his receivers expose the back end of the Gators’ secondary.

College football headquarters chooses…

More…Georgia vs. Florida score prediction by expert model

When: Sat, November 2nd
Time: 3:30 p.m. Eastern
TV: ABC Network

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The game odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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