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    • Current polls on Harris vs. Trump
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    Current polls on Harris vs. Trump

    Eira Gwyneth Posted on

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    With the presidential election just a week away, Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump are neck-and-neck in their efforts to win over voters in key battleground states.

    The latest polls show a tight race between the two presidential candidates in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan. Nationally, Harris appears to have finally gained a point lead over Trump in the latest TIPP poll, after the two were nearly tied for three straight days.

    Given these razor-thin margins, it’s no surprise that Trump and Harris spent the final days of their campaign holding rallies and wooing voters in swing states.

    Trump, who will host a new conference at Mar-a-Lago on Tuesday, will also hold an evening rally in Allentown, Pennsylvania, about 60 miles northwest of Philadelphia. Harris is expected to appear at a rally in Washington DC, the same place where Trump gave a fiery speech nearly four years ago before a mob of his supporters stormed the capital on January 6, 2021.

    Here’s what you should know about the presidential election on Tuesday, October 29:

    Live updates on the 2024 election: Trump holds PA rally, Harris gives DC speech; Latest polls

    Trump leads Harris 48% to 47% in the USA TODAY/Suffolk poll in Wisconsin

    Trump and Harris are nearly tied in Wisconsin, 48% to 47%, according to a USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll of 500 likely voters.

    The results are within the survey’s margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. The survey was conducted October 20-23.

    Harris has a slight lead in Door County, Wisconsin, which is a major factor in the state. Harris leads Trump in that area 50% to 47%, the poll of 300 likely Door County voters showed. The results are still within the margin of error of 5.7 percentage points.

    While there is typically a gender divide between Trump and Harris supporters, David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, said the impact of the divide is more pronounced in the state.

    In Wisconsin, Harris has a 14 percentage point lead over Trump among women, 55% to 41%. But Trump is 18 percentage points higher than Harris among men, 56% versus 38%.

    Harris leads Trump 48-45% in the Minnesota poll

    There are few undecided voters left in Minnesota who support either Trump or Harris as the finish line approaches, according to a new poll from MinnPost-Embold Research.

    The poll of 1,734 likely voters in the state showed Harris with a slight lead over Trump, 48% to 45%, nearly matching the result of a similar poll last month. The results were within the poll’s margin of error of 2.4 percentage points.

    Only 2% of respondents said they were undecided, down from 3% in September. The survey was conducted between October 16th and 22nd.

    Among the candidates and their vice presidential running mate, only Tim Walz had a positive popularity rating (2%) in a state where he is also governor. Steven Schier, professor emeritus of political science at Carleton College, said Walz’s high popularity rating “likely translates into a small boost” for Harris.

    Harris leads Trump by three percentage points in new Michigan poll

    In a new poll commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and Detroit News, Harris has a narrow three-point lead over Trump.

    The poll of 600 people surveyed Oct. 22-24 showed Harris leading 47% to 44%, with a margin of error of 4%.

    Following other surveys, the new poll found that jobs and the economy continue to motivate voters. 41.4% said this was the most important issue in the election. Nearly 20% said immigration was the biggest problem.

    Harris gains a slight lead in the latest TIPP poll

    After a three-day standoff, Harris appears to have gained a slight one-point lead over Trump in Tuesday morning’s TIPP tracking poll.

    In the latest online poll of 1,291 likely voters conducted Saturday through Monday, Harris is now leading 48% to 47%, with a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.

    However, the survey shows that 53% of Americans are worse off than before the pandemic. Democrats are the most optimistic: 51% say they are doing better, while 68% of Republicans say they are doing worse.

    Independents largely reflect the national mood: 55% say the economy is worse.

    “This dissatisfaction is a headwind for Harris that Trump could exploit,” the poll said.

    What you should consider when taking surveys

    The margin of error describes how accurately we can assume that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

    If a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

    Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, which significantly underestimated Trump’s performance.

    Contributor: Rebecca Morin, USA TODAY

    Eric Lagatta covers breaking and breaking news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]

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    Eira Gwyneth
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