Carla Esparza vs. Tecia Pennington

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Carla Esparza will face Tecia Pennington in the Octagon at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The opening line has Esparza at +150 and Pennington at -180.

Carla “Cookie Monster” Esparza is looking to add a win to her 20-7-0 record. The 36-year-old reports a weight of 115 pounds. and comes in at 5′ 1″. The orthodox fighter is 63″ long. Tecia “Tiny Tornado” Pennington is 1.75 meters tall and weighs 50 kilograms. The Orthodox fighter will look to add a win to her career record of 13-7-0. The 35-year-old stretches 60″. In terms of significant strikes, Carla Esparza is landing 2.16 significant strikes per minute, while Tecia Pennington is landing 4.78 significant strikes per minute. Esparza lands 40% of the significant strikes she attempts, while Pennington lands 47% When it comes to defense, “Cookie Monster” takes 2.69 significant punches per minute, while “Tiny Tornado” also allows 3.59 to stop 55% of the significant punches her opponents throw at her able to negate 61% of the blows inflicted on her.

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When it comes to grappling, Carla Esparza averages more takedowns in the cage as she can score 3.22 takedowns every 15 minutes. Esparza completes her takedown attempts on 35% of her attempts and stuffs 47% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Pennington takes her opponent to the mat on 14% of the takedowns she attempts and thwarts 65% of the attempts against her. As far as submissions go, Esparza is the more experienced technician with 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds, while Pennington aims for 0.1 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In her last fight, Carla Esparza faced Zhang Weili and lost the fight via rear naked choke in round 2. Weili ended up landing 42 of the 90 total punches she threw in the fight. Esparza finished the evening with 19 of 50 total goals. When it came to significant hits, Weili ended up going 37 of 78, meaning her percentage was 47%. She landed 20 of 58 significant punches aimed at the head. Regarding the opponent’s statistics, Esparza landed 18% of the significant punches she threw, landing 6 of 32. Looking at the significant punch accuracy, she landed 6 out of 31 on the head. 64% of Weili’s significant hits and 100% of Esparza’s punches were thrown from distance.

In Tecia Pennington’s last Octagon appearance, she faced Tabatha Ricci and suffered a split decision defeat in Round 3 that evening. Ricci scored on 88% of the significant long-distance shots she took and Pennington hit 87%. from the significant blows she attempted from a distance. In the end, Pennington landed 36% of the significant punches she attempted, hitting 80 of 219. She landed 64 of 194 significant blows to the head. Ricci scored 54 of 143 significant hits in this fight. Of those significant blows, she landed 32 of 105 hits aimed at the head. As for the total number of strikes thrown in the contest, Ricci landed 94 of 186 and Pennington landed 92 of 231 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to watch is when Alex Pereira steps into the Octagon with Khalil Rountree Jr. Pereira enters the cage with a score of 11-2-0. The 37-year-old weighs 205 pounds. and is 6 feet 4 inches tall. The Orthodox Fighter has a reach of 79 inches. Rountree Jr. stands 6′ 1″ and weighs in at 205 pounds. The southpaw fighter will look to add a win to his career record of 14-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stands at 76″ tall. In wrestling, Alex Pereira scores a takedown 0.17 times per 3 rounds, while Khalil Rountree Jr. scores a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rounds. In terms of power, Pereira averages 5.23 strikes per minute and connects on 63% of the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this fight is Khalil Rountree Jr., who is landing 39% of his punches thrown and scoring 3.84 strikes per minute.

Another fight to watch is the fight between Mario Bautista and Jose Aldo in the Octagon. Aldo will look to add a win to his career record of 32-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs 135 pounds. and stands at 5′ 7″. The Orthodox Fighter is 70″ long. Bautista measures 1.70 meters and weighs 65 kilograms. The switch fighter enters the cage with a score of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old increases his reach to 69 inches. When it comes to takedowns, Jose Aldo parries 91% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and scores a takedown on 53% of his attempts. Bautista completes his takedown attempts on 44% of his attempts and stops 66% of his opponents’ takedown attempts. When hitting, Aldo absorbs 3.73 punches per minute and lands 3.63 per minute. Furthermore, Bautista takes 3.99 punches per minute and distributes 5.69 punches per minute.

So what’s the forecast for Tonights Parlay? UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink’s Pick: Take Tecia Pennington (-180)

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