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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers – odds, tips and predictions
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Arizona Diamondbacks at Milwaukee Brewers – odds, tips and predictions

The Arizona Diamondbacks (84-68) and champion of the NL Central Division Milwaukee Brewers (88-64) meet on Thursday to open a 4-game series. First pitch at American Family Field is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s check out BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Diamondbacks vs Brewers Opportunities and place your best bets with our expert MLB tips and predictions.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

These two teams met last weekend. The Brewers won 2 of 3 in Phoenix from September 13-15 and the Diamondbacks won on Sunday to avoid a sweep. A total of 44 runs were scored in the last two games. Milwaukee won 15-8 on Saturday and Arizona responded with a thrilling 11-10 victory in 10 innings in the finale. The D-backs then lost 2 of 3 at the Colorado Rockies and won 9-4 on Wednesday as -175 favorites.

The Brewers continue their home streak that began with 2 of 3 wins against the Philadelphia Phillies. When the Chicago Cubs lost to the Oakland A’s on Wednesday afternoon, the Brewers clinched the NL Central Division before beating the Phillies 2-1 later in the evening. Milwaukee has a 5-2 record in its last 7 games.

Expected starters for the Diamondbacks and Brewers

RHP Brandon Pfaadt against RHP Tobias Myers

Pfaadt (9-9, 4.81 ERA) is making his 30th start. He has a WHIP of 1.27, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 166 2/3 innings.

  • Last appearance: Loss, 1 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 0 K in the 15-8 home loss to the Brewers on Saturday
  • Has an ERA of 10.23 in his last 5 starts

Myers (8-5, 3.07 ERA) is making his 24th start and 25th appearance. The rookie has a WHIP of 1.17, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 126 innings.

  • Last appearance: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in the 15-8 win against the Diamondbacks on Saturday
  • Benefited from a .280 batting average on balls in play (.203 BABIP with runners in scoring position)

Pfaadt and Myers were the opposing starters in Milwaukee’s 15-8 victory on Saturday. It is the only time in his career that Myers has faced the Diamondbacks, while it was Pfaadt’s second time against the Brewers. He started Game 1 of their Wild Card series against Milwaukee last season and allowed 3 runs on 7 hits and 1 walk in 2 2/3 innings before being replaced. Arizona took the win 6-3 and won the series 2-0.

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Diamondbacks at Brewers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit the USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds Hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Odds last updated at 5:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Diamondbacks -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run Line (RL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Diamondbacks -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Tips and predictions for the Diamondbacks at the Brewers

forecast

Diamondbacks 5, Brewers 4

Money line

Arizona has finished 5-1 in its last six games in Milwaukee.

Pfaadt has had some bad luck this season and is considered a better starter than he appears at first glance. His batting average on balls in play is .317 and his BABIP on runners in scoring position is .359.

For Myers, the numbers are trending in the other direction, and he is a weak candidate here.

The Diamondbacks have posted an OPS of .856 since August 28th.

BACK ARIZONA (-120).

Running Line/Against the Spread

The Snakes minus the cushion would be a game at +150. But HAPPEN on the offer as we support the moneyline.

Over/Under

As mentioned, last weekend’s scores were 15-8 (Brewers win) and 11-10 (Diamondbacks win). The over in Arizona’s last 18 games is 13-5, and the last 9 games in this series have produced 6 overs.

Both sites have analytics on actual pitching and defense that indicate the scoring should be higher.

Since the pitchers were only seen a week ago (the same goes for the bullpens), OVER 8 (-115) is a value.

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