Vice President Kamala Harris hopes her truncated presidential campaign will resemble a competitive sports team that achieves its greatest success at the end of the season.

Harris took over the Democratic leadership in July after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race to “focus exclusively on (his) duties as president” for the remainder of his term. Since then, Harris has repeatedly rejected some of former President Donald Trump’s poll results that predicted the Republican nominee would win back the White House.

Now there are new signs that the Democratic nominee is gaining momentum at the right time in her bid to defeat Trump.

Iowa poll showing Harris leading Trump ‘shockingly’

Just days before the election, a new poll from one of America’s most trusted pollsters showed Harris leading Trump by three points in deep-red Iowa.

The new survey, conducted by Selzer & Co. for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom was released on Saturday, prompting poll analyst Nate Silver to write a quick analysis and call the poll “shocking.”

Trump led Iowa by 9.5 points in 2016 and by 8.2 points in 2020. Former Democratic President Barack Obama won Iowa in 2008 and 2012.

For Harris, the poll reflects strong momentum among women and older voters in Iowa and perhaps in other swing states and across the country. The Des Moines Register reported that Harris had a 20-point lead among women (56 to 36 percent) and a notable 63 to 28 lead among women 65 and older.

Independent voters in Iowa also appeared to agree with Harris: Independent women preferred Harris by 28 points, while independent men preferred Trump by a smaller margin.

The latest ABC News/Ipsos poll released Sunday shows Harris losing to white women by just 4 points, a group Biden lost to Trump by 11 in 2020. The poll also shows the vice president losing to white men by just 11 points. Biden lost this group by 23 in 2020.

Kamala Harris rises in swing states: finals New York Times/Siena Survey

What’s more, Democratic candidate Trump now leads in all but one crucial swing state, according to the finale New York Times/Siena College pre-election poll.

Results released Sunday show Harris leading in Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin and Georgia. The candidates are tied in Pennsylvania and Michigan, while Trump is leading in Arizona.

Since the last round Just/Siena polls in the battleground states show momentum has shifted toward Harris in Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina, three states where Trump previously led her but where she is now ahead.

However, polls are in favor of Trump in Pennsylvania, which must win. The previous one Just/In the Siena poll conducted between Oct. 7 and Oct. 10, Harris was ahead by four points in the Keystone State — they are now tied.

Overall, polls still suggest the 2024 presidential election remains close. An analysis of recent polls from 538 respondents released Sunday gave Harris a 1-point lead nationally, with 47.9 percent of the vote against 46.9 percent for Trump. Overall, however, 538 has Trump as the favorite with a 53 percent chance of victory compared to 47 percent for Harris.

On Sunday, the Trump campaign sent out a press release specifically targeting Selzer’s Iowa poll and the poll Just/Siena results.

“On Saturday, leading Democrats appear to have been given early access to an absurd outlier poll in Iowa conducted by the… Des Moines Register. Can’t beat that New York Times came right on cue as another set of polling data was used to push a voter suppression narrative against President Trump’s supporters. Some media outlets choose to amplify the madness in order to dampen and weaken voter enthusiasm. It didn’t work. “Our voters are like President Trump: They fight,” the statement said.

Newsweek The Harris campaign emailed Sunday afternoon seeking comment.

Harris has reason for “disgusting optimism” as women push early voting

In the seven most closely contested states so far, women have cast 55 percent of ballots while men have made up 45 percent. This is according to new data from Catalist, a data company that supports progressive causes.

NBC News reported Thursday that early voting results showed that of the more than 58 million absentee and early in-person votes cast nationwide, 54 percent were cast by women and 44 percent by men.

Harris has made defending abortion rights the centerpiece of her campaign – an issue that has become a campaign issue for Republicans – and targeted women of all races and education levels, including Republican women unhappy with former President Trump.

The early voting data is encouraging for Democrats who see women as crucial to catapulting Harris into the White House.

When Ron Brownstein, a senior political analyst and managing editor at CNN, was confronted with the Catalist numbers The Atlanticsaid CNN anchor Amara Walker on Saturday: “That number you cite is probably the only reason for the shift in Democrats’ mood from the pervasive gloom of, say, a week ago, to what they call nauseating optimism on the sidelines.” of the election – that. “Women make up such a high percentage of early voters.”

The betting odds change in Harris’ favor

In the last few days, the chances of Trump winning the election have noticeably worsened at some leading betting providers.

After the Iowa poll was released with Harris ahead, BetOnline.ag quickly changed its odds.

Three days ago, Trump was a half (-200) favorite in BetOnline’s presidential market and Harris was a +180 underdog. Now those odds are with Trump (-140) and Harris (+120). Just a week ago, the odds for Harris to win the popular vote were 2/3 (-150), but now they are 1/4 (-400).

BetOnline’s Pennsylvania odds have completely turned around. Earlier this week, Trump had a 2/3 (-150) chance of winning the Keystone State. Now Harris is a 5/6 (-120) favorite.

Betfair, a British betting exchange, gave Trump a 60 percent chance of winning on Saturday, while Harris had a 40 percent chance. As of Sunday, those odds for Trump had fallen to 55.87 percent, while Harris had risen to 44.24 percent.

Kalshi, another prediction market website, gave Trump a 64 percent chance of victory as of Oct. 29, versus 36 percent for Harris. As of Sunday morning, the former president’s chances had fallen to 51 percent, while the vice president’s had risen to 49 percent.

Using Polymarket, another prediction website where customers can buy and sell stocks around events taking place, Trump’s odds of winning fell from 67 percent on Oct. 30 to 54 percent on Nov. 3. During the same period, Harris’ chances increased from 33 to 46 percent.