Only two weeks until election day, the latest poll on voting intention in the US presidential election from Redfield & Wilton strategies finds Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris by 2% nationally.

This latest result represents a shift from Harris to Trump since our last national poll on US voting intentions was released two weeks ago and marks the first time since mid-July that Trump has led our national poll. before Kamala Harris entered the race and when Joe Biden was his opponent.

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After weighting based on the probability of voting stated by the respondents themselves, 47% (+1) of Americans say they will vote for Donald Trump, while 45% (-3) say they will vote for Kamala Harris. Meanwhile, another 4% (-) say they are still unsure how they will vote.

6% (+1) of Trump 2020 voters now say they will vote for Harris, and 11% (+3) of Biden 2020 voters now say they will vote for Trump. Donald Trump retains the support of 91% (-) of those who voted for him in 2020, while 81% (-7) of those who voted for Joe Biden in the last presidential election say they will vote for Kamala Harris.

90% of those who express an intention to vote say that their vote is safe. Only 10% say their vote could still change.

When asked who was more likely to win the presidential election between Harris and Trump, he replied: 41% (-1) of respondents say they think Kamala Harris is more likely to winas opposed to 40% (+2) who believe Donald Trump is more likely to win. 11% (-1) believe the race will be a back-and-forth race.

At the same time, 43% of voters believe Donald Trump is most likely to win their own statewhile 41% think Kamala Harris is most likely to win her state.

When we finally ask them to guess who their neighbors are voting for, A majority of 47% believe their neighbors will vote for Donald Trumpwhile 44% believe their neighbors will vote for Kamala Harris.

86% of likely Trump voters believe their neighbors will vote for Trump, while 82% of likely Harris voters believe their neighbors will vote the same way.

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