The Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1-0) against the Toronto Maple Leafs (3-2-0) Monday. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (NHL Network). Let’s analyze the 24/7 NHL odds from BetMGM Sportsbook Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Opportunities and meet our NHL expert picks and predictions.

Season Series: First Meeting; Last season it was a 2-2 draw

The Bolts lost their first game of the season 5-4 in Ottawa on Saturday. They were down 2-0 after the first game and scored three goals in the second half, but couldn’t quite overcome the deficit. RW Nikita Kucherov is heading into the race with 7 goals and 2 assists in 4 games.

The Leafs lost 4-1 to the New York Rangers on Saturday as -120 favorites. This ended the winning streak of three games. C Austin Matthews scored his 2nd goal of the season. He only scored 2 goals and 2 assists in the early stages. The Leafs are 4th in the SOG with 32.8 goals per game, but are 17th with 3.0 goals per game.

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Blitz at Maple Leafs odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of NHL odds. Lines were last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Lightning +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Maple Leafs -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
• Puck Line (PL)/Against the Spread (ATS): Lightning +1.5 (-210) | Maple leaves -1.5 (+170)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Lightning at Maple Leafs predicted goaltender

Andrei Vasilevskiy (3-1-0, 1.67 GAA, .901 SV%) vs. Anthony Stolarz (2-2-0, 1.79 GAA, 0.937 SV%)

“Vassy” is looking back to his all-world self after a slow start last year due to back surgery. However, he struggled a bit last time out, allowing the Senators to score five goals on 28 shots. He beat Toronto in his only meeting against them last season, stopping 28 of 29 en route to a 4-1 win.

If that’s true, the Leafs could make it to the Stanley Cup Finals. Stolarz was 16-7-2 with a 2.03 GAA last year at Florida, backing up Sergei Bobrovsky. His SV% of .937 is 9th in the league. He has allowed just two goals in each of his last three starts and has allowed seven goals in four starts.

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Lightning at Maple Leafs tips and predictions

forecast

Lightning 3, Maple Leafs 2

Money line

The Lightning have scored 4 goals in 4 straight games. They’ve already gone to Carolina and beat the Canes in a tough environment. I expect the same thing to happen in Toronto as the Leafs haven’t been able to consistently assert themselves under new coach Craig Berube.

Take this LIGHTNING +110.

Puck Line/Against the Spread

There is one prop that IMMEDIATELY stands out. NIKITA KUCHEROV ANYTIME GOAL +130. His previous game goals: 3, 1, 2, 1. In 4 games against Toronto last year he scored 5 goals and 7 assists.

Over/Under

I’ll take the under here. The Leafs are 1-4 O/U and Tampa is 2-2 O/U so far. Toronto’s offense really isn’t firing on all cylinders, and even if Tampa continues its streak of 4-goal games, I still like it UNDER 6.5 (-110).

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