Monday looks to be hot again, with near record-breaking warmth. But an approaching cold front quickly displaces that. A more autumnal pattern sets in on Tuesday.

Tonight and tomorrow: Expect a mostly clear and calm Sunday evening. Look for a morning low around 70° in Baton Rouge, which is 5-10° above the early October average. It could be a bit humid on Monday, but no different than the region already is. It will be hot in the capital with highs of 93°. This will be close to the then record high (94° in 1911). Once the afternoon passes, a cold front will move into the region. This will bring some big changes in the future.

Next: A cold front moving through Monday night will cause several changes for the rest of the week. The effects of the front will be felt as early as Tuesday morning as cooler air moves in from north to south. Expect waking temperatures in the lower 60s in Baton Rouge on Tuesday, with some spots north of I-10/12 in the upper 50s. It’s getting warmer in the south. Relatively cooler air will continue to penetrate the region on Tuesday afternoon. Highs only reach the mid-80s in full sunshine. And that is the status quo for the future. Each day will see plenty of sunshine, lows near 60°, and highs in the mid/upper 80s.

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The Tropics: Milton strengthened into a hurricane on Sunday as the storm rapidly strengthened in the western Gulf of Mexico. This trend will continue in the coming days. Milton could become a Category 4 hurricane by Tuesday. The storm is expected to encounter some wind shear around Wednesday, which could lead to some weakening before making landfall in western Florida. Regardless, Floridians need to prepare for a major hurricane on Wednesday. Life-threatening storm surges, strong winds and heavy rain are expected in the region. No major impacts are expected on site. Minor coastal flooding along the east coast and large waves on the coast are not ruled out.

Hurricane Kirk continues to lose strength as it moves through the subtropical waters of the North Atlantic. The storm is producing large waves that will increase the risk of rip currents along the U.S. East Coast early in the week. Otherwise, Kirk will have no major impact on the United States. The system will become post-tropical on Monday and then move east into Europe by midweek.

Following behind Kirk is Hurricane Leslie. This system will remain a hurricane for another day or so before weakening to a tropical storm. Leslie will pose no threat to the country.

A tropical wave will move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Some development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cape Verde Islands on Wednesday and Thursday and stakeholders there should monitor its progress.

– Meteorologist Malcolm Byron

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