Today we have a loaded Week 6 college football slate with about 100 games to choose from. Let’s explore where smart money is headed using our VSiN CFB betting splits. These come directly from DraftKings and are updated every 10 minutes.

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West Virginia (2-2) is coming off a 32-28 win over Kansas, making it a 1-point home favorite. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State (3-2) has lost two straight games and was just steamrolled by Kansas State 42-20 without covering as 6-point road dogs. This line started with Oklahoma State listed as a 5-point home favorite. The public sees a “real” spot for Oklahoma State and 77% of spread bets are picking the home favorite. However, despite this lopsided support, Oklahoma State has fallen from -5 to -3. Several stores even go down to -2.5. The movement toward the Mountaineers has been steady and steady all week, with no buyback from Oklahoma State. The Mountaineers receive just 23% of the spread bets but 43% of the spread dollars, a sharply contrarian “lower stakes, higher dollars” betting split. West Virginia also offers notable contrarian value, receiving only about a quarter of the bets in a high-stakes late afternoon game on ESPN2. Short Road Dogs +4 or less are 580-500 (54%) with a 4% ROI since 2012. The Mountaineers enjoy a notable Rest vs. Tired advantage as they have a bye while the Cowboys do so on Saturday played. West Virginia is valuable as a conference dog because the built-in familiarity and rivalry aspect levels the playing field and benefits the team in scoring points. The Mountaineers are also a dog-can-score system matchup (31.8 PPG), which allows them to keep pace or cover back doors. The peak values ​​have fallen downwards, bringing the total value from 65.5 to 64.5. The Under receives 58% of the bets and 73% of the dollars, indicating slight public support but also strong support from the Under smart money.

USC (3-1, 11th) just defeated Wisconsin 38-21 and is a 14-point home favorite. Conversely, Minnesota (2:3) narrowly lost to Michigan 27:24, but was covered as a road dog with 10.5 points. This line opened with USC listed as an 8.5-point road favorite. The public sees an easy win and coverage with USC and 70% of the spread bets have the Trojans scoring the points. However, despite this strong public support, the line has not deviated from USC -8.5. In some stores the value has even fallen to -8. It never rose to -9. Reading between the lines, it looks like Minnesota is getting a sharp line freeze as the line hasn’t moved despite USC betting heavily. If a favorite is at -8.5 and receives 70% of the bets, you would normally expect the line to rise to -9 or -10. The fact that the number hasn’t moved despite receiving one-sided support suggests that oddsmakers are unwilling to adjust the number towards the popular side for fear of handing out an additional half-point or more to contrarian backers Minnesota to give up. The Gophers receive just 30% of the spread bets but 49% of the spread dollars, a clear “lower stakes, higher dollars” split of bets. As an unrated home dog, Minnesota has a buy-low value against a sell-high ranked opponent. The Gophers also have notable contrarian value, receiving only about a third of the tickets in a high-stakes prime-time game. USC could also find itself in a disappointing “look ahead” position as it hosts Penn State next week. Sharps also reached the under, lowering the total from 52 to 46.5. The under receives just 34% of the bets but a whopping 64% of the dollars, further evidence that Wiseguy is putting his money on a lower scoring game. The forecast calls for low 70s with partly cloudy skies and winds of 10 to 12 mph. When winds blow 10 miles per hour or more, the decline is about 55% over the last decade.

Miami (5-0, 8th) just secured a thrilling 38-34 last-second win over Virginia Tech, but couldn’t hold on as a 17.5-point home favorite. Meanwhile, California (3-1) narrowly fell to Florida State 14-9 and failed to cover as 3-point road dogs. This line opened with Miami listed as a 12.5-point road favorite. The public is undeterred by the double-digit spread and 80% of the spread bets are on the Hurricanes. However, despite massive public support, Miami has fallen from -12.5 to -10. Why would the oddsmakers drop the odds to make it easier for the public to cover when they’re already covering Miami? Because the professionals have sided with California and the points, triggering a sharp backward movement in their direction. California receives just 20% of the spread bets but 47% of the spread dollars, featuring a massive “lower stakes, higher dollars” betting split in a late-night game broadcast nationally at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN high stakes. As an unrated home dog, California has a buy-low value against a sell-high ranking opponent. The Golden Bears enjoy a significant “rest vs. tired” advantage, coming off a bye week, while Miami played an emotional thriller against Virginia Tech on Saturday and now have to travel across the country in a possible “letdown.” Cal will lean on its strong defense to keep this game close, allowing just 12.8 PPG this season, which is seventh-best in the country. Wiseguys also gave in, dropping its overall score from 55 to 54. Some stores have even dropped to 53.5. The under gets 27% of the bets but 45% of the dollars, further evidence that the harder bets are on a lower scoring game.